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Tag Archives for: "hot new research"
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By Goodwin Paul
In Foresight, Interviews, Practical Articles
Posted October 1, 2017

Forecasting After a Fashion

Foresight: The International Journal of Applied Forecasting, Issue 47, Oct-17, Pages 15 – 18 Fashion – it can dominate our choices of clothes, music, interior design and even our babies’ [...]

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By Goodwin Paul
In Article, Foresight, Practical Articles
Posted January 1, 2017

Collaborative Forecasting: Is It Always Worth It?

Foresight: The International Journal of Applied Forecasting, Issue 44, Winter 2017, Pages 5 – 8 Common sense suggests that there will be gains in forecast accuracy if organizations at [...]

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By Goodwin Paul
In Article, Foresight, Practical Articles
Posted July 1, 2015

When Forecasting in the Supply Chain Gets Tough

Foresight: The International Journal of Applied Forecasting, Issue 38, Summer 2015, Pages 5 – 8 Some forecasters might envy those who make demand forecasts for products that have been [...]

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By Goodwin Paul
In Article, Foresight, Practical Articles
Posted October 1, 2014

SPIES – A Simple Method for Improving Forecasts?

Foresight: The International Journal of Applied Forecasting, Issue 35, Fall 2014, Pages 5 – 7 My previous Hot New Research column discussed the benefits of including information about [...]

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By Goodwin Paul
In Article, Foresight, Practical Articles
Posted April 1, 2014

Getting Real about Uncertainty

Foresight: The International Journal of Applied Forecasting, Issue 33, Spring 2014, Pages 4 – 7 In October 2012, the scientific world was shocked when seven people (engineers, scientists, [...]

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By Goodwin Paul
In Article, Foresight, Practical Articles
Posted July 1, 2013

Come Rain or Shine: Better Forecasts for All Seasons

Foresight: The International Journal of Applied Forecasting, Issue 30, Summer 2013, Pages 34 – 36 This is Paul Goodwin’s 11th Hot New Research column for Foresight, a feature that seeks to [...]

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By Goodwin Paul
In Article, Foresight, Practical Articles
Posted October 1, 2011

High on complexity, Low on evidence: are advanced Forecasting Methods always as good as They seem?

Foresight: The International Journal of Applied Forecasting, Issue 23, Fall 2011, Pages 10 – 12 Some forecasting researchers love complexity. Read their papers, and you just might begin to [...]

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By Goodwin Paul
In Article, Foresight, Practical Articles
Posted April 1, 2011

Projecting Success: Don’t Forget the Base Rate

Foresight: The International Journal of Applied Forecasting, Issue 21, Spring 2011, Pages 7 – 9 Suppose that you make an outrageously extreme forecast, such as predicting a quadrupling [...]

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By Goodwin Paul
In Article, Foresight, Practical Articles
Posted October 1, 2010

The Holt-Winters Approach to Exponential Smoothing: 50 Years Old and Going Strong

Foresight: The International Journal of Applied Forecasting, Issue 19, Fall 2010, Pages 30 – 33 Holt-Winters (HW) is the label we frequently give to a set of procedures that form the core [...]

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By Goodwin Paul
In Article, Foresight, Practical Articles
Posted April 1, 2010

Why hindsight can damage foresight

Foresight: The International Journal of Applied Forecasting, Issue 17, Spring 2010, Pages 5 – 7 In 1972, President Richard Nixon made a historic trip to China, which had become virtually a [...]

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